Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.219625 1.379772 1.555202 1.761986 1.999509 2.264320 2.582638
2024-12-15 0.984815 1.202757 1.462407 1.796083 2.215705 2.728777 3.407986
2024-12-22 0.834329 1.070936 1.368740 1.774024 2.315718 3.021074 4.019379
2024-12-29 0.742528 0.992546 1.321712 1.791443 2.452076 3.359276 4.718752
2025-01-05 0.658408 0.910483 1.255147 1.767176 2.519331 3.600657 5.303768
2025-01-12 0.594545 0.847215 1.204484 1.754665 2.595172 3.854841 5.931394
2025-01-19 0.523840 0.765832 1.117979 1.677343 2.561436 3.935462 6.293346
2025-01-26 0.491313 0.736775 1.104339 1.706595 2.691658 4.280074 7.120047
2025-02-02 0.464254 0.712897 1.095318 1.740477 2.830472 4.650840 8.036221
2025-02-09 0.436061 0.684306 1.075616 1.753811 2.934636 4.972407 8.905163
2025-02-16 0.410027 0.656636 1.054417 1.761547 3.028311 5.283626 9.793498
2025-02-23 0.391469 0.639440 1.048516 1.794074 3.167751 5.690271 10.916565
2025-03-02 0.362012 0.602112 1.006454 1.760487 3.186369 5.881188 11.652892
2025-03-09 0.347889 0.589941 1.006697 1.803358 3.352907 6.374731 13.086808
2025-03-16 0.324945 0.560337 0.973472 1.780406 3.389080 6.613833 14.011053
2025-03-23 0.310104 0.543923 0.962396 1.797968 3.506431 7.030047 15.387816
2025-03-30 0.290817 0.517885 0.931421 1.773596 3.535223 7.263119 16.378582
2025-04-06 0.274764 0.496611 0.907607 1.761036 3.586835 7.550436 17.541201
2025-04-13 0.252068 0.461202 0.854164 1.683404 3.491012 7.499765 17.865637
2025-04-20 0.243833 0.452870 0.852521 1.712774 3.631883 8.002064 19.668045
2025-04-27 0.236634 0.445996 0.853134 1.746791 3.786558 8.555218 21.696326
2025-05-04 0.227692 0.435018 0.844613 1.760179 3.895153 9.011204 23.539836
2025-05-11 0.218780 0.423467 0.834021 1.767945 3.991214 9.448019 25.405396